Current:Home > StocksThe U.S. created an extraordinary number of jobs in January. Here's a deeper look -TradeWisdom
The U.S. created an extraordinary number of jobs in January. Here's a deeper look
View
Date:2025-04-18 21:03:22
It's Groundhog Day. And once again, the monthly jobs report has confounded forecasters.
U.S. employers added 353,000 jobs in January, according to a report from the Labor Department Friday. That's far more than analysts were expecting.
The job market has held up remarkably well, despite the Federal Reserve's effort to fight inflation with the highest interest rates in more than two decades.
The question is whether the Fed will see a shadow in the stronger-than-expected jobs market and extend our winter of elevated borrowing costs.
Policy makers might worry that such a strong labor market will keep prices higher for longer.
Here are four takeaways from Friday's report.
Demand for workers is still extraordinarily strong
Nearly every industry added jobs last month. Health care added 70,000 jobs. Business services added 74,000. Even construction and manufacturing — two industries that typically feel the drag of higher interest rates — continued to hire in January.
What's more, revised figures show job growth in November and December was stronger than initially reported.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate held steady at a historically low 3.7%. It's been under 4% for two full years now.
More people are joining the workforce
Helping to balance the strong demand for labor is a growing supply of available workers.
Many people who were sidelined during the pandemic have since joined or re-joined the workforce — thanks in part to the possibility of remote work.
Nearly 23% of employees teleworked or worked from home last month — more than double the rate before the pandemic.
The share of people in their prime working years who are working or looking for work in January rose to 83.3%.
Immigration has also rebounded. The foreign-born workforce grew 4.3% last year, while the native-born workforce was virtually flat.
"Those two forces have significantly lowered the temperature in the labor market," said Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell this week. "It's still a good labor market for wages and for finding a job. But it's getting back into balance and that's what we want to see."
But the sizzling job market could delay a cut in interest rates
Powell said this week that he and his colleagues could start cutting interest rates this year if inflation continues to fall.
Powell cautioned, however, that a rate cut at the next Fed meeting in March is unlikely. It's probably even more unlikely after this stronger-than-expected jobs report, which showed average wages in January rising 4.5% from a year ago.
Although rising wages have not been a big driver of inflation, wage gains at that level could make it hard to get inflation all the way down to the Fed's target of 2%.
Before the jobs report, investors had been all but certain the Fed would cut interest rates by May. They're less confident now.
Productivity gains could make rising wages less worrisome
Two other reports from the Labor Department this week show less upward pressure on wages and prices.
One report tracks the labor costs borne by employers last year. It showed a smaller increase in October, November and December than the previous quarter. This "employment cost index" is considered a more reliable guide to labor expenses than the monthly wage data.
A separate report showed that workers' productivity rose by 3.2% in the fourth quarter. Rising productivity helps to offset rising wages, so employers can afford to pay more without raising prices.
"Productivity is the magic wand that keeps wages growing solidly without spiking inflation," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at the payroll processing company ADP.
veryGood! (52646)
Related
- Kylie Jenner Shows Off Sweet Notes From Nieces Dream Kardashian & Chicago West
- Light It Up With This Gift Guide Inspired by Sarah J. Maas’ Universe
- Norfolk Southern is 1st big freight railway to let workers use anonymous federal safety hotline
- Hong Kong begins public consultation to implement domestic national security law
- Angelina Jolie nearly fainted making Maria Callas movie: 'My body wasn’t strong enough'
- Changing of the AFC guard? Nah, just same old Patrick Mahomes ... same old Lamar Jackson
- Global anti-corruption efforts are faltering, partly due to a ‘decline in justice,’ survey finds
- Changing of the AFC guard? Nah, just same old Patrick Mahomes ... same old Lamar Jackson
- DoorDash steps up driver ID checks after traffic safety complaints
- The 49 Most Popular Amazon Items E! Readers Bought This Month: $1 Lip Liners, Kyle Richards' Picks & More
Ranking
- New Zealand official reverses visa refusal for US conservative influencer Candace Owens
- Why Pilot Thinks He Solved Amelia Earhart Crash Mystery
- Putin and Lukashenko meet in St Petersburg to discuss ways to expand the Russia-Belarus alliance
- New FBI report finds 10% of reported hate crimes occurred at schools or college campuses in 2022
- DoorDash steps up driver ID checks after traffic safety complaints
- Minnesota presidential primary ballot includes Colorado woman, to her surprise
- Russian skater Kamila Valieva banned four years over doping, ending 2022 Olympic drama
- Iranian man and 2 Canadians are charged in a murder-for-hire plot on US soil
Recommendation
Can Bill Belichick turn North Carolina into a winner? At 72, he's chasing one last high
Amazon calls off bid to buy robot vacuum cleaner iRobot amid scrutiny in the US and Europe
National Hurricane Center experiments with a makeover of its 'cone of uncertainty' map
Love streaming on Prime? Amazon will now force you to watch ads, unless you pay more
Senate begins final push to expand Social Security benefits for millions of people
Saudi Arabia’s oil giant Aramco says it will not increase maximum daily production on state orders
Michigan man charged with threatening to hang Biden, Harris and bomb Washington D.C.
Live updates | Israeli forces raid a West Bank hospital, killing 3 Palestinian militants